Ellington Financial’s third quarter performance stood out due to stronger-than-expected revenue and non-GAAP profit, as the company capitalized on strategic expansion in its loan portfolios and an active securitization pipeline. Management emphasized that higher net interest income from loan growth and robust credit performance, particularly within non-qualified mortgage (non-QM) and proprietary reverse mortgage segments, were central to the results. CEO Laurence Penn noted, “Our quarterly results also benefited from robust gains from securitizations of non-QM loans and closed-end second lien loans.” The company’s continued ability to securitize assets at scale, alongside strong contributions from affiliate loan originators, helped underpin operational momentum.
Is now the time to buy EFC? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Ellington Financial (EFC) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $82.76 million vs analyst estimates of $78.87 million (23.6% year-on-year growth, 4.9% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.53 vs analyst estimates of $0.44 (20.7% beat)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $25.74 million (31.1% margin, 60.4% year-on-year growth)
- Market Capitalization: $1.50 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Ellington Financial’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Crispin Love (Piper Sandler) inquired about the impact of a more favorable mortgage rate environment on affiliate platform valuations and potential expansion into new originator platforms. CFO J. Herlihy explained that strong earnings have increased book values and that valuation multiples have risen, but not to the levels seen in recent high-profile transactions.
- Bose George (KBW) asked for detail on observed consumer credit weakness and portfolio credit allocation. CEO Laurence Penn emphasized a focus on higher-income and higher-FICO borrowers, while acknowledging that lower-income borrowers have shown more strain and that risk remains under close watch.
- Trevor Cranston (Citizens JMP) questioned the decline in credit hedge positions and how Ellington Financial is managing risk amid potential spread widening. CEO Laurence Penn described the reduction as temporary, tied to cash deployment, and stated credit hedges would adjust as new investments are made.
- Timothy DeAgostino (B. Riley Securities) explored the competitive landscape for proprietary reverse mortgages and recent growth in non-QM investments. CEO Laurence Penn highlighted limited competition in the proprietary space and described the non-QM market as increasingly attractive due to underwriting discipline and improved securitization liquidity.
- Eric Hagen (BTIG) asked about leverage in the Longbridge portfolio and risks related to prepayment and convexity in non-QM loans. CEO Laurence Penn and CIO Mark Tecotzky detailed that leverage is largely limited to warehousing before securitization and that prepayment risks are actively modeled and hedged.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and profitability of new securitizations, especially in emerging agency-eligible and seasoned loan segments; (2) the effectiveness of capital redeployment from recent unsecured note issuance in supporting earnings growth; and (3) ongoing credit performance amid a weaker macroeconomic backdrop, with special attention to home price trends and consumer financial health. Execution on technology-driven loan origination and expansion into new product types will also be critical markers.
Ellington Financial currently trades at $13.96, up from $13.66 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Our Favorite Stocks Right Now
Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.
The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.
StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.